TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9b3…2bea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.33
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$67.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$26.03
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57.44
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$141.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.89
Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$22.05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$10.95
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.13
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$8.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Girona win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.69
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$145.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$57.27
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$22.3
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$17.95
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$20.35
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$12.22
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.25
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$22.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.