NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1b59c0d6bfe2078bc31c133c9ca9b1be2b1ac7c672c03f12b3e6240624880c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Raptors, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 47c | 21,110$9,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,162.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Raptors | 38c | 9,128$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Raptors | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 62c | 7,907$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.8 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Raptors | 7c | 7,262$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Celtics | 47c | 6,336$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Celtics | 54c | 3,149$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Celtics | 63c | 3,148$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Celtics | 62c | 3,055$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.09 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 37c | 2,631$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 49c | 2,622$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 79c | 2,259$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Celtics | 50c | 2,234$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Raptors | 24c | 2,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Raptors | 39c | 2,047$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.63 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Raptors | 40c | 1,937$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.5 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Raptors | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 35c | 1,403$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Raptors | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.08 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked Celtics | 61c | 1,397$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Celtics | 61c | 1,067$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors | 40c | 919.89$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics | 65c | 706.03$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.19 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Celtics | 75c | 648.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Raptors | 39c | 612.85$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Celtics | 50c | 610$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.59 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Raptors | 40c | 586$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Raptors | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Celtics | 67c | 565.01$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Raptors | 35c | 563.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Raptors | 33c | 559.06$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Raptors | 11c | 550$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 38c | 504.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Celtics | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 35c | 464.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Celtics | 65c | 461.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Celtics | 66c | 459$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Celtics | 63c | 446.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Raptors | 39c | 437.44$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 36c | 426$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 68c | 407.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Raptors | 37c | 406$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Celtics | 62c | 401.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Raptors | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 33c | 366.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Raptors | 12c | 364.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Raptors | 7c | 360.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…f39cbacked Celtics | 64c | 325.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Celtics | 62c | 322.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 62c | 316.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Celtics | 51c | 312.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Raptors | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Raptors | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…15d1backed Celtics | 52c | 295.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1f8fbacked Celtics | 64c | 286.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…c30fbacked Raptors | 23c | 273.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Celtics | 65c | 256$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 52c | 224.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Raptors | 5c | 223.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Raptors | 23c | 222.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Celtics | 67c | 219.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Celtics | 62c | 215.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Celtics | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…5104backed Raptors | 13c | 205.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…0197backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…5193backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…af37backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…d02ebacked Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1698backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3d87backed Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…6d6bbacked Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Celtics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Raptors | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Celticsthis page
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.