TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x980d…985f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT7230.6%22 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.82
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33.13
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$36.36
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.98
Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Team Austin win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$65.79
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$89
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST7236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.49
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+300%+$89.94
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.12
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.29
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49.88
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+270.4%+$154.04
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$61.07
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.81
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+515.9%+$158.38
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$55.83
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+142.8%+$99.93
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+233.3%+$93.29
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44.66
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.73
UCLA vs. USCbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michiganbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.3
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
New Mexico vs. Boise Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Northwestern vs. Penn Statebacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
South Alabama vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+338.8%+$67.73
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.28
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.33
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$28.27
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.