MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4456907d2685a263fa8ec58b8511a23ace6732f9a65e5baf4313a69da781b443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Guardians | 51c | 8,823$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 49c | 7,784$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.8 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Guardians | 48c | 3,180$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.32 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 57c | 2,760$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 49c | 2,716$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 38c | 2,402$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 32c | 2,335$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 49c | 2,143$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Royals | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Guardians | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Guardians | 51c | 1,592$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Royals | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 46c | 1,214$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Guardians | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.62 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.38 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Royals | 27c | 974.01$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Guardians | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Royals | 50c | 905$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 52c | 839.92$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 48c | 809.9$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 48c | 696.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.47 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Royals | 50c | 680.9$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 50c | 640.54$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Royals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Guardians | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Guardians | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 58c | 512.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 51c | 500.72$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 30c | 485.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.26 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Royals | 50c | 447$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.63 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Royals | 50c | 445$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Royals | 46c | 358.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 53c | 356$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Guardians | 11c | 350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 49c | 349$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Guardians | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 49c | 324.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 72c | 300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 50c | 278.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Guardians | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 64c | 232.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 51c | 206.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Guardians | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 36c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Guardians | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Guardians | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Royals | 49c | 161.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Guardians | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Guardians | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 52c | 137.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Guardians | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 51c | 121.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Guardians | 50c | 117.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 52c | 107.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Guardians | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Royals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Guardians | 57c | 97.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…abb6backed Guardians | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Guardians | 61c | 93.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…f31cbacked Royals | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…b24dbacked Guardians | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Royals | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Guardians | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Guardians | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 34c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Guardians | 39c | 64.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Royals | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…cff6backed Guardians | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Guardians | 55c | 54.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Royals | 63c | 43.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…5503backed Guardians | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Guardians | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Guardians | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Guardians | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Royals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…ca89backed Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Guardiansthis page
- Royals vs. Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Royals (-1.5)Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.