TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a07…cff6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT13435.8%48 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$73.62
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.84
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$16.57
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$34.54
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.99
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.52
Bruins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.9
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.63
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+63.9%+$8.31
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+72.4%+$8.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$17.26
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+78.6%+$8.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.