MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168774bb33b814703d19bc42e2bb5846a2fcf624e94170d4f7cabfa8f0ca947d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Nationals | 41c | 354,212$146,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,437.17 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 59c | 95,892$56,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,576.51 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Giants | 58c | 84,300$48,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,894 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 59c | 59,586$34,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,861.77 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 59c | 30,013$17,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,707.68 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Giants | 59c | 24,390$14,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,390.37 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Giants | 59c | 21,545$12,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,711.46 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.95 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 58c | 19,781$11,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,557.48 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 58c | 10,500$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 11c | 9,963$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Giants | 54c | 7,413$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 58c | 5,210$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 58c | 4,543$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.11 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 58c | 4,444$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.52 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 59c | 3,387$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.33 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 7c | 3,240$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 42c | 2,100$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.57 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Giants | 18c | 1,826$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Giants | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Giants | 61c | 1,629$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 1c | 1,389$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 59c | 1,180$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Giants | 18c | 1,107$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 57c | 1,062$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…5dedbacked Giants | 60c | 949.27$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Giants | 60c | 949.27$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 43c | 921$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.97 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 20c | 864.27$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Giants | 11c | 819.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 55c | 755$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.25 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Nationals | 44c | 666$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 17c | 654.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 42c | 604.76$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nationals | 41c | 594.75$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.9 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 23c | 570.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 13c | 568.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Giants | 18c | 547.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 42c | 524.72$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 59c | 504$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 12c | 461.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 44c | 395.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 43c | 387.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 27c | 349.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 59c | 338$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 49c | 255.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Giants | 17c | 241.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 51c | 225.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Giants | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 42c | 193.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Giants | 59c | 169.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nationals | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Giants | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Giants | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Giants | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Giants | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Giants | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…0593backed Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Giants | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Giants | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…c93ebacked Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…28cebacked Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…855abacked Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3f9fbacked Nationals | 45c | 96.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Giants | 60c | 95.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Giants | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Giants | 17c | 84.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Nationals | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Giants | 35c | 82.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Nationals | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nationals | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Nationals | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 41c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Nationals | 41c | 53.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…4c77backed Giants | 57c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Giants | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.