TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5025…dd30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 61 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$78
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$274.99
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.45
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$10.15
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.6
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$585
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$25.49
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+73%+$187.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+30.8%+$154.01
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58%+$148.67
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.9%+$52.4
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.83
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-80.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$34.2
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$106.05
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$25.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,067.63
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,387.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.