MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01bd94611eef7066726cd9a236b0a820b9cb72a6af85260099a3df7c349263cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Guardians, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Guardians | 50c | 27,785$13,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,807.31 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 18,928$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,928.8 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.22 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,110$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.23 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 43c | 8,677$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.12 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 8,630$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.04 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 7,313$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.6 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 47c | 7,063$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Guardians | 49c | 5,409$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.24 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 48c | 4,139$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 3,227$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Guardians | 73c | 3,088$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 2,854$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.04 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 2,779$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.21 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Guardians | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,485$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.57 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 62c | 2,435$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.93 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,960$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.52 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Guardians | 24c | 1,860$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 54c | 1,815$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 49c | 1,801$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.01 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 48c | 1,624$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.35 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,540$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.99 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,447$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Guardians | 48c | 1,400$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 64c | 1,344$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,250$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 66c | 1,230$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 47c | 1,185$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,179$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.37 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,158$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.29 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Guardians | 61c | 1,151$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Guardians | 47c | 1,135$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Guardians | 47c | 1,115$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 1,095$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Guardians | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Guardians | 40c | 986.88$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Guardians | 45c | 958.07$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Guardians | 49c | 955.68$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 940$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 56c | 891$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 838.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.36 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 811$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 810.33$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 805.63$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Guardians | 50c | 800$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…8aa8backed Guardians | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e432backed Guardians | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…3d17backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 789$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 753.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 658.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 31c | 650$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 643.59$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 57c | 638$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.66 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 593.55$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.32 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 50c | 567$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 565.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Guardians | 16c | 559.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 547.58$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 48c | 512.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 483.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Guardians | 56c | 479.31$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 63c | 473$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 469.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd47backed Guardians | 78c | 465.5$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 33c | 446$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 409.59$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…3769backed Guardians | 49c | 402.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Guardians | 50c | 401.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.14 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 384.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Guardians | 60c | 368.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 49c | 366.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Guardians | 63c | 352.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Guardians | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guardians | 17c | 338$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 46c | 334.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 329.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 47c | 327$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 300.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…212bbacked Guardians | 79c | 297.47$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 266.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.