Middle East · resolved market
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eea75f6e268efbab20b12d9760f9472b39e76881c63f0db577cd3e92aef03b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 71c | 20,660$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 12c | 12,412$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed No | 60c | 10,223$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…37b0backed Yes | 42c | 7,042$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked No | 70c | 6,629$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 23c | 5,811$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.68 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 41c | 5,300$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 49c | 5,149$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…5ababacked No | 57c | 4,770$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 13c | 3,875$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…40a0backed Yes | 3c | 3,625$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…2bb6backed Yes | 31c | 2,960$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,894$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…bd73backed Yes | 1c | 2,608$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed Yes | 28c | 2,479$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 27c | 2,357$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.57 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,901$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 16c | 1,745$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 13c | 1,719$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 14c | 1,681$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.85 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,518$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…0b6bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,499$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 16c | 1,485$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 1,462$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a53…7f24backed Yes | 29c | 1,455$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 30c | 1,360$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.78 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,295$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,273$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…fab2backed Yes | 16c | 1,236$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 27c | 1,221$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 72c | 1,108$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b57…ce73backed Yes | 13c | 1,092$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,067$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…1df4backed Yes | 10c | 1,034$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…f9a4backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 34c | 990.38$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 31c | 982.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 40c | 946.73$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…6f8fbacked Yes | 20c | 906.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…ea15backed Yes | 44c | 900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 73c | 865.13$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 16c | 801$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…d636backed Yes | 14c | 797.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…1404backed Yes | 35c | 757.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec8…d3f4backed Yes | 14c | 734.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Yes | 32c | 688.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…819fbacked Yes | 15c | 670.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…afc9backed Yes | 40c | 545.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 10c | 533.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 512.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 78c | 489.25$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 480$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 67c | 477.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Yes | 37c | 471.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 470.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 11c | 448.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 413.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…aa20backed Yes | 12c | 410.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…1242backed Yes | 29c | 397.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…9061backed Yes | 15c | 391.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…3152backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 55c | 357.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…5a44backed Yes | 15c | 336.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 329.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…2cbfbacked Yes | 39c | 315.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 308.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…cb35backed Yes | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 64c | 299.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…baa3backed Yes | 32c | 298.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…ec8fbacked Yes | 39c | 257.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…33d2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed Yes | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…d913backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 79c | 237.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 235.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 32c | 232.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…f445backed Yes | 27c | 229.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…8f05backed Yes | 36c | 226.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0f1cbacked No | 65c | 220.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 15c | 215.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 33c | 214.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 31c | 208.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 29c | 204.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…0067backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.