NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f720e2f29f89f77c5723c967e4e2b9984dfb76b0527015a4c76306cdf54570c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 89,204$44,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,229.92 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 51c | 70,750$35,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,011.29 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 50c | 62,566$31,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,473.34 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Over | 51c | 43,137$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 50c | 40,708$20,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,354.15 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 38,694$19,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,343.01 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 33,397$16,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,819.99 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 50c | 32,301$16,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,150.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Under | 50c | 25,407$12,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,826.38 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 16,958$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.82 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Under | 50c | 13,971$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.56 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 11,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 51c | 10,606$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.97 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 50c | 6,815$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.46 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 51c | 6,138$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.38 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 52c | 1,942$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.65 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 40c | 1,824$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 50c | 1,545$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.05 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,535$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 1,375$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 1,317$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.34 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Under | 60c | 1,181$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 858$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Under | 49c | 800$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 24c | 748.9$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 50c | 665.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.44 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 50c | 578$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Under | 50c | 432.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 422$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…dcb0backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 304$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Under | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Under | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Over | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 57c | 197.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 65c | 197.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…04f5backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…3b7bbacked Under | 34c | 116$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x577d…160bbacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…a9e5backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…48e2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…0d4abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 49c | 40.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Under | 51c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…73a4backed Over | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…6e2abacked Under | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…1c61backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…5ba9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5this page
- Bills vs. FalconsFalcons won
- Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.