TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7c5…bf7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST19242.2%81 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.32
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$27.06
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$30.8
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$41.74
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+169.1%+$41.26
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.92
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.76
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.6
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+210.7%+$44.76
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$55
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.35
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.56
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.2
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$11
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+150.7%+$16.69
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+73.4%+$12.7
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.64
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+87%+$46.02
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.27
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.8
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liberty (-10.5)backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.13
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Ohio State vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Spread: Louisville (-6.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Iowa State vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Illinois (-9.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.55
TCU vs. Arizona Statebacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.66
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBRbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.48
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$15.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.