MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d1eb2c16c21fbdb58947fd691e069b82ca1bb5dbf7b3bdcfa824942aaef88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Reds, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,659,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,659,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,659,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 29c | 1,120,215$321,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321,721.7 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Dodgers | 73c | 450,551$330,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,550.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Reds | 30c | 333,358$99,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,995.45 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 29c | 311,804$90,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,305.14 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 71c | 300,992$212,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,441.97 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers | 71c | 300,000$211,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,499.99 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 69c | 255,495$176,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,813.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers | 71c | 249,312$178,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,085.12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 72c | 164,947$118,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,835.16 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 28c | 153,191$42,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,306.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 26c | 135,819$35,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,294.81 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 65c | 80,000$52,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,682.37 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 26c | 70,112$18,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,352.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 29c | 62,442$18,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,108.2 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 71c | 60,000$42,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Dodgers | 65c | 57,089$37,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,866.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Dodgers | 71c | 56,575$40,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,406.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 35c | 54,852$18,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,956.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 70c | 54,600$38,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,121.31 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 50c | 51,372$25,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,726.22 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 37c | 46,629$17,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,216.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers | 71c | 44,000$31,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,760 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Dodgers | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 29c | 38,000$11,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,020 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers | 71c | 36,768$26,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,734.36 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 45c | 31,860$14,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,351.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dodgers | 71c | 25,000$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 17c | 24,638$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Dodgers | 71c | 23,000$16,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Dodgers | 68c | 22,518$15,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.07 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 49c | 21,130$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.33 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Reds | 27c | 20,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Reds | 18c | 15,983$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 13c | 14,720$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.39 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 29c | 14,403$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.02 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 1c | 12,781$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 44c | 12,135$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Reds | 30c | 11,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 28c | 10,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 2c | 9,630$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Reds | 28c | 8,990$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.2 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Reds | 14c | 8,443$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.16 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Reds | 11c | 7,943$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Dodgers | 72c | 7,470$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.76 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 63c | 7,221$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.07 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Reds | 29c | 6,958$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Reds | 40c | 6,701$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 23c | 6,664$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 1c | 6,459$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Reds | 28c | 6,007$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.18 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Reds | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Reds | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Reds | 1c | 5,828$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Dodgers | 72c | 5,828$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Reds | 35c | 5,643$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Dodgers | 72c | 5,612$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dodgers | 72c | 5,399$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Dodgers | 71c | 5,330$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 71c | 5,250$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Dodgers | 71c | 5,003$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Dodgers | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dodgers | 71c | 4,947$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 67c | 4,896$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Dodgers | 63c | 4,706$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 28c | 4,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Reds | 27c | 4,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Dodgers | 71c | 3,901$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.97 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dodgers | 72c | 3,846$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.77 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Reds | 37c | 3,753$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 29c | 3,668$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.66 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Reds | 15c | 3,648$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.28 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Dodgers | 72c | 3,522$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.22 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 28c | 3,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Reds | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Dodgers | 61c | 3,412$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Dodgers | 74c | 3,378$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 4c | 3,374$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 36c | 3,332$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…dd31backed Reds | 30c | 3,327$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e25ebacked Dodgers | 72c | 3,300$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…3389backed Reds | 29c | 3,230$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Dodgers | 63c | 3,130$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.76 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…9c67backed Dodgers | 70c | 3,012$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…f3fcbacked Reds | 29c | 2,998$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.06 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Dodgers | 77c | 2,622$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Reds | 29c | 2,601$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.37 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Reds | 27c | 2,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Reds | 29c | 2,464$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 51c | 2,203$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.61 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 73c | 2,178$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.15 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 2c | 2,118$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Reds | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Dodgers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Dodgersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.