TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cincinnati Reds45c44,031$19,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,814.039462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c35,575$20,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,190.342951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Cincinnati Reds71c18,314$13,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,024.049146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Cincinnati Reds43c14,214$6,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,142.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cincinnati Reds44c13,119$5,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,835.8773352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cincinnati Reds43c12,936$5,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.161,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Los Angeles Dodgers27c9,153$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.5714153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c8,930$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.23040%12 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cincinnati Reds43c6,838$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.1978445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cincinnati Reds44c4,967$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.31,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c4,382$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.2415353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c3,463$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.3312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c3,389$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.6711456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cincinnati Reds45c3,299$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c2,778$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.37651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cincinnati Reds44c2,460$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4192…7f00backed Cincinnati Reds6c1,934$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c1,790$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.323865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c1,348$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.716934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c1,189$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.2966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cincinnati Reds42c1,010$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.282,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Cincinnati Reds44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8626055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cincinnati Reds46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c720.72$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.326442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c639.72$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.739863.3%62 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c636.37$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6917961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Reds44c615$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.611544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c513.58$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.188944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c510$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1321767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22066751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Cincinnati Reds43c444.56$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.997041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.887556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Cincinnati Reds43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1296833.8%23 W · 45 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Reds44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.518649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Cincinnati Reds72c243.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8638245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Cincinnati Reds44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Cincinnati Reds44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8819747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e7…c669backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c180.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.07825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c82…0d7dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c141.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.423053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds44c138.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4340753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Cincinnati Reds44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448646.5%40 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Cincinnati Reds43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.339450%47 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf390…79efbacked Cincinnati Reds44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c90.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Cincinnati Reds48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8212backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.597057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.275935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2425155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.411353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5def…fd63backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.342040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c59.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.643250%16 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x851c…8481backed Cincinnati Reds44c58.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db6…5dd1backed Cincinnati Reds45c52.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2947…7bc9backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c51.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ca…51fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c49.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab57…d24cbacked Cincinnati Reds45c49.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c53…8052backed Cincinnati Reds46c48.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…149abacked Cincinnati Reds45c45.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Cincinnati Reds46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010451.9%54 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…b4febacked Cincinnati Reds45c43.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc264…6d35backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c40.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…df85backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c39.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc4…6d27backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c37.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeccf…53cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c37.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4c…3006backed Cincinnati Reds46c36.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7112746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf889…e4cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Cincinnati Reds45c34.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.437452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464f…3ef7backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c32.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Cincinnati Reds77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…5051backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c28.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…0211backed Cincinnati Reds44c27.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…d472backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c27.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd006…d42ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c27.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3418…d637backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3210762.6%67 W · 40 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ff…f464backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick48cpaid+71.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.