MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254c4c4d0095e674e872a970c0470cf858b2b91d1abe57579af3515b4b4f5bff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 44,031$19,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,814.03 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 35,575$20,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 18,314$13,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,024.04 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 14,214$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 13,119$5,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.87 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 12,936$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 9,153$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.57 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 8,930$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 6,838$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.19 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,967$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 4,382$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.24 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 3,463$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 3,389$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.67 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,299$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.61 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 2,778$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,460$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 1,934$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 1,790$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.32 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,348$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.7 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 1,189$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.29 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 720.72$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.32 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 639.72$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 636.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.69 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 615$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 513.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.18 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 510$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 444.56$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…c669backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 180.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 141.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 138.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 90.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…fd63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 59.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…8481backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 58.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…5dd1backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 52.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…7bc9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 51.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…51fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 49.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…d24cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 49.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…8052backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…149abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 45.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…b4febacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…6d35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 40.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…df85backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 39.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…6d27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 37.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…53cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 37.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…3006backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 36.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…e4cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 34.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 32.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…5051backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 28.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…0211backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…d472backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…d42ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…d637backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Reds vs. DodgersDodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.