College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55bde6a5f8925a3addd421e4ed2f774c276f47079c50fbab1ff70a36c8727f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Illinois | 15c | 70,454$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,690.54 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Illinois | 15c | 38,888$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.2 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Illinois | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Illinois | 13c | 19,208$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.06 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Illinois | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Illinois | 14c | 7,989$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.49 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Illinois | 14c | 7,512$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.62 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Illinois | 14c | 6,292$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.48 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Illinois | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Illinois | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Illinois | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Illinois | 0c | 4,928$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…1e48backed Illinois | 16c | 4,900$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Illinois | 5c | 4,300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois | 4c | 4,156$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Illinois | 16c | 3,271$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.19 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Illinois | 0c | 3,131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Illinois | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Illinois | 16c | 3,121$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Illinois | 1c | 2,477$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Illinois | 14c | 2,117$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…7c96backed Illinois | 15c | 1,728$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…dd5bbacked Illinois | 16c | 1,709$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…07babacked Illinois | 15c | 1,709$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Illinois | 16c | 1,702$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois | 15c | 1,602$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked Illinois | 15c | 1,481$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Illinois | 14c | 1,244$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4a02backed Illinois | 16c | 1,210$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Illinois | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Illinois | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Illinois | 15c | 980$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois | 15c | 706$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Illinois | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Illinois | 18c | 683.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Illinois | 15c | 670.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Illinois | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Illinois | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Illinois | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Illinois | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Illinois | 14c | 543.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Illinois | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Illinois | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Illinois | 15c | 499.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois | 2c | 447.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…ef6fbacked Illinois | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Illinois | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Illinois | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…62d5backed Illinois | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Illinois | 14c | 261.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Illinois | 16c | 227.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Illinois | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Illinois | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Illinois | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…6f0bbacked Illinois | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Illinois | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Illinois | 10c | 187.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Illinois | 18c | 184.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Illinois | 6c | 161.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Illinois | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Illinois | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Illinois | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Illinois | 16c | 125.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Illinois | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Illinois | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Illinois | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Illinois | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…b302backed Illinois | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Illinois | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Illinois | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Illinois | 16c | 95.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Illinois | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…c394backed Illinois | 16c | 76.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Illinois | 15c | 72.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Illinois | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…b363backed Illinois | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…214abacked Illinois | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Illinoisthis page
- Ohio State vs. Illinois: O/U 49.5Over won
- Ohio State vs. Illinois: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.