TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: TES vs AL

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TESof TES, AL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed AL43c61,164$26,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,207.2121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed TES50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00023355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed TES70c11,723$8,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.42075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed AL50c11,111$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed AL49c10,798$5,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,291.139247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked TES52c10,359$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed AL48c10,200$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed AL51c9,938$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,072.6319448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed TES58c8,693$5,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.0123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed AL23c7,971$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.6632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed AL39c5,771$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.0827345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed AL30c5,645$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked AL34c5,335$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed TES51c4,885$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.7726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed TES50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked TES59c4,235$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked TES52c4,190$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.398956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed AL7c4,152$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed AL50c3,763$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.5617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed TES50c3,269$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.731844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed AL50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked AL28c2,982$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.022020%4 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TES51c2,759$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.0315452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked TES58c2,709$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.071145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e59…a17cbacked TES68c2,707$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked TES58c2,649$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.65565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TES50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.051,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed AL51c2,586$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.0980740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed AL17c2,506$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9218624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed AL31c2,125$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.421225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked TES74c2,038$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TES52c2,004$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.4985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked AL65c1,999$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed AL19c1,850$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.743545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked TES57c1,770$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.4747055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed AL40c1,700$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked AL47c1,593$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.622568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked AL35c1,584$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4992…6f5cbacked TES67c1,577$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.61650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed TES63c1,570$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.271181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed TES55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67510538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7116…b487backed TES49c1,430$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed TES38c1,428$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.313551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed TES70c1,325$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4116349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed TES49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6125530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c0…8086backed AL29c1,170$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed TES50c1,015$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.57440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed TES66c1,002$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34128351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed TES73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked AL50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed TES66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a25…0243backed AL25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked AL50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed AL35c971.43$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TES68c959.75$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.231,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed TES58c957.34$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked TES51c952.09$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.533458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed AL44c905$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4512131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed TES73c900$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2433652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed TES72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25218650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed TES51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed TES78c834.68$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.68887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed TES50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked AL45c777$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.651,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed AL26c773$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.063154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed TES51c767.08$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed TES54c736.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed TES55c735$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32923351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed TES61c675$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.48055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed TES50c654.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0816947.3%80 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked TES66c622.62$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3222056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked AL12c600$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.869838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed AL40c588.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed AL25c555$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.756643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed AL27c551.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked TES52c540.45$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.382850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad0…d5bfbacked TES40c512.58$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed AL26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed AL30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked TES53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed AL47c482.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3617462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…75b3backed TES56c460$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed TES66c455.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3910238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed AL50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.524139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed TES67c447.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.568833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked TES54c445.9$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed AL33c430$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked AL35c426.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.663542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ce…9968backed TES51c409.67$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked TES51c403.92$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.925129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked AL40c403.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.26850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked TES52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed TES37c400$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2542142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed TES50c377.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed AL31c375$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.259215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed TES76c369.78$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.114168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed TES51c346.87$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.56862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…c55fbacked TES50c340.9$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked TES68c333.56$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3210261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed TES49c330$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.37243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.