TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20ee…1391

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT9149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.23
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,631.11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+900%+$91.43
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.15
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.5%+$1,760.6
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55.89
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$206.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,928.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.4%+$916.24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,405.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,664.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$1,046.59
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,187.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,270.96
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+194.1%+$152.21
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+242.4%+$4,630.66
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$8,266.72
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.1%+$3,928.12
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24,794Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+55.4%+$13,735.62
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$396.39
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.88
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$46.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$408
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$238
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$3,469.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,131.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$1,002.67
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+144.5%+$295.51
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$40.75
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.46
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.36
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.99
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.38
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.12
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.22
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$4,304.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$293
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$29.67
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$193.96
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$107.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$58.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$191.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.