Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ea66d5da87b0f152424d41e3eeefdc436479649630d7dc1ed008b9bc9aa805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 23c | 15,429$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,941.11 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Under | 77c | 9,591$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.18 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Under | 79c | 6,363$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 23c | 4,508$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 77c | 3,746$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Under | 77c | 2,938$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 73c | 2,652$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.84 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Over | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Under | 38c | 1,860$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.78 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under | 38c | 1,584$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.68 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Over | 61c | 1,495$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,484$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.32 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Over | 25c | 1,395$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.05 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Over | 63c | 1,343$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Over | 64c | 1,327$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 23c | 1,327$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.79 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Under | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Under | 36c | 925.85$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Under | 74c | 915.81$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.7 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 74c | 700$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under | 72c | 568.19$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.31 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Over | 23c | 542.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 65.8%144 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3ccfbacked Over | 57c | 420$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Over | 28c | 404.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.31 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed Under | 78c | 389.23$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 26c | 388.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Over | 26c | 305.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 79c | 254.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Over | 34c | 230.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Under | 66c | 212.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 34c | 205.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…fbfdbacked Over | 40c | 100.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…f1a2backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5866backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Over | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4c29backed Over | 53c | 52.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Over | 23c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed Under | 77c | 35.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.