TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2e2…9b0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$577.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,249.98
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$330.52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$136.2
Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44.26
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,677Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.9%+$5,109.04
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.5%+$4,094.26
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.3%+$316.26
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$587.3
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$304.55
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,102.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$217
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$594.31
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$336.98
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,771.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+126.7%+$1,061.25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$843.75
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$487.13
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$207
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$489.85
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$499.42
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$549.5
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$648.03
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,259.6
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,323.13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$902.13
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$572
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,694Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+65.7%+$1,770.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+97.6%+$2,439.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$345.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$805.73
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$269.98
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$377.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+64.5%+$531.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.