NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8691bbc9be817cbb08d93c26d2985651556e2f659c3ec78626927c073c66c9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 49c | 85,577$42,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,257.04 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Raptors | 51c | 70,000$35,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,500 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 50c | 38,225$19,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,035.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raptors | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Raptors | 48c | 19,549$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,165.48 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Cavaliers | 48c | 18,941$9,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,091.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cavaliers | 48c | 17,911$8,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,597.08 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,300$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,749$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors | 51c | 5,077$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,276$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.76 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 51c | 4,000$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Raptors | 50c | 3,169$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.34 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cavaliers | 43c | 2,566$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.81 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,151$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 72c | 2,118$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Raptors | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…3b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,925$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7457…b087backed Raptors | 50c | 1,925$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 50c | 1,894$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.76 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Raptors | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,604$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.98 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,502$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Raptors | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…bb7cbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 52c | 963.46$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.46 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Raptors | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 49c | 956.91$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Raptors | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Cavaliers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Raptors | 51c | 626.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Raptors | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…86e0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 609.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…588cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Raptors | 53c | 570.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.79 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Raptors | 52c | 566.48$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 534$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Raptors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Raptors | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 473.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…31b6backed Raptors | 52c | 444.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Raptors | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…801fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Raptors | 51c | 307.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors | 47c | 260.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 205.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…4aa1backed Cavaliers | 51c | 203.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Raptors | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Raptors | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…4d00backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…e1febacked Cavaliers | 52c | 191.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Raptors | 50c | 191.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Raptors | 49c | 189.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Raptors | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 49c | 181.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Raptors | 69c | 171$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 49c | 153.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Raptors | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Raptors | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 43c | 147.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cavaliers | 50c | 134.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 111.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Cavaliers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Raptors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a412backed Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.