TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,838,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,902,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,838,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,895 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers40c180,000$72,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,199.7438248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors45c70,145$31,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,351.9570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c7…3133backed Raptors65c56,328$36,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,974.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Cavaliers54c54,117$29,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,043.568744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raptors28c51,737$14,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,250.497745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968b…e907backed Cavaliers72c50,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Raptors29c50,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,50017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Raptors27c50,000$13,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,683.087149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Raptors28c45,293$12,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,655.32466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Cavaliers55c45,000$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,7505646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers72c35,305$25,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,255.631,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers71c30,000$21,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,299.8959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Cavaliers71c28,508$20,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,240.4724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa234…f30ebacked Raptors27c25,800$6,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,833.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Raptors29c25,000$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,7508939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Raptors77c23,725$18,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.1648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Raptors64c22,322$14,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,965.1319249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors44c21,066$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,761.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Cavaliers44c21,044$9,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,327.393411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Cavaliers60c20,500$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df9…03b2backed Raptors28c18,337$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,202.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Raptors29c15,634$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,145.9736148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Raptors68c14,713$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.015667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers71c13,709$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,749.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers73c13,642$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Raptors28c12,710$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,209.3324330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors33c12,241$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,223.41,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers44c12,165$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.0319388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Raptors63c11,224$7,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.7327917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers33c10,989$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers53c10,030$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,305.224,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,10012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Cavaliers23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Cavaliers75c9,885$7,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,406.511369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6d…0761backed Cavaliers73c9,470$6,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,913.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x593a…0541backed Cavaliers73c9,400$6,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,86220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a4…b137backed Cavaliers73c9,350$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,825.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors28c8,768$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.2446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers71c8,671$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.4261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Cavaliers66c8,514$5,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,630.3413558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x820c…4841backed Raptors27c8,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.861758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors75c8,216$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0541,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers60c7,500$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors27c7,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,109.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers29c6,707$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.3581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3044…7bbebacked Cavaliers72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Raptors28c6,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.9218142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers72c5,968$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.9547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Raptors51c5,248$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.483148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers8c5,012$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.861,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Cavaliers71c4,992$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.079855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2d…3749backed Cavaliers43c4,984$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Cavaliers27c4,800$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.918536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Cavaliers43c4,600$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97416446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Raptors49c4,402$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.4624634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Raptors28c4,300$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0962740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Cavaliers72c4,300$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers22c4,197$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.961,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors29c4,100$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9111,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,84076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…a36ebacked Raptors28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Raptors29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors29c3,855$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.3543051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Cavaliers72c3,535$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.376358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…0943backed Raptors29c3,400$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4144100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Raptors75c3,356$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8392770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Raptors27c3,350$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.993125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Raptors30c3,336$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors44c3,309$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.6348845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cavaliers72c3,142$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.255650%28 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Raptors39c3,141$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.6927846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Raptors44c3,004$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.6716550.3%83 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors25c3,000$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.3837930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Cavaliers72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1604052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ac…e56abacked Raptors64c2,994$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers71c2,917$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.7695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors28c2,868$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors28c2,857$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.1456348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca70…6259backed Raptors27c2,745$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.0713548.9%66 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Cavaliers53c2,640$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cavaliers48c2,638$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8928…5963backed Raptors29c2,600$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8464100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cavaliers72c2,567$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85533743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ff…82f7backed Raptors38c2,562$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors73c2,500$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Cavaliers43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07550838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a8…45adbacked Raptors65c2,500$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.121952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b93…307abacked Raptors28c2,420$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors28c2,413$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors39c2,212$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.7166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers72c2,207$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.761,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Raptors26c2,163$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.945815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Cavaliers72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked Raptors68c2,060$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.468356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Cavaliers25c2,041$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3434645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers42c2,026$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Cavaliers71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4209344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Cavaliers72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Raptors27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.999649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.