NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad4389558a66c1a0de8ce4ccd069f33868c210119ea7cbe8ea022b922ae195c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ef…8cd8backed Over | 3c | 16,650$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 10,359$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…56c1backed Over | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…23a4backed Under | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Over | 49c | 1,635$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 1,050$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 749.75$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 53c | 584.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 53c | 433.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 404.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…eabebacked Over | 52c | 323.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 322.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Under | 72c | 248.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…3aa8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Over | 47c | 159.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 84.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Over | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3b03backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 59.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…06cfbacked Over | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 41.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b3…d146backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…17abbacked Under | 61c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…c87bbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…2be4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…b448backed Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0d53backed Over | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 284 | 54.6%155 W · 129 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…ec68backed Under | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.