NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e194ff1505c1d6bf255ce8f061df7f2398f25f9e04ebcd5e4ea59eecadabc32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,669,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,842,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,669,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Bucks | 40c | 279,366$112,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,270.66 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 64c | 88,227$56,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,363.75 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Rockets | 47c | 81,362$38,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,935.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Rockets | 60c | 76,650$45,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,706.72 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rockets | 60c | 60,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,299.99 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 58c | 58,741$34,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,088.86 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 64c | 51,227$33,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,192.85 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bucks | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Rockets | 35c | 47,343$16,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,646.9 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets | 36c | 32,930$11,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,096.05 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rockets | 59c | 30,000$17,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Rockets | 34c | 29,098$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,328.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets | 60c | 26,780$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,779.66 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 40c | 21,946$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.31 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 1c | 21,861$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.61 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Rockets | 60c | 16,228$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.98 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rockets | 46c | 16,205$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.09 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Rockets | 60c | 16,000$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 59c | 14,638$8,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rockets | 32c | 13,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Rockets | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Rockets | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.97 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…18d5backed Bucks | 38c | 9,800$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…fe17backed Bucks | 36c | 9,800$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Rockets | 62c | 9,800$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…100cbacked Rockets | 63c | 9,800$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 57c | 9,223$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,704$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.41 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Bucks | 40c | 5,649$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 61c | 5,647$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.86 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 60c | 5,492$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Rockets | 28c | 5,316$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 44c | 5,126$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.93 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Rockets | 44c | 4,512$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.77 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 45c | 4,435$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.03 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets | 58c | 4,426$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.05 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Bucks | 39c | 4,000$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 41c | 3,744$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Bucks | 76c | 3,710$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bucks | 40c | 3,700$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Bucks | 59c | 3,667$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.05 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bucks | 1c | 3,549$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 50c | 3,525$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 38c | 3,470$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Bucks | 69c | 3,300$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets | 63c | 3,279$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.17 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Rockets | 32c | 3,094$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.6 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Rockets | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rockets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.96 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…3619backed Bucks | 38c | 2,840$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 42c | 2,686$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.78 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Bucks | 55c | 2,609$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockets | 60c | 2,577$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.7 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bucks | 52c | 2,463$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.84 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 60c | 2,455$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Bucks | 41c | 2,450$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…45a8backed Rockets | 26c | 2,374$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bucks | 39c | 2,275$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.33 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 32c | 2,242$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.61 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bucks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Rockets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…13a0backed Bucks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rockets | 54c | 2,000$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Bucks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bucks | 56c | 1,882$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.92 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Rockets | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Rockets | 62c | 1,792$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.94 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 39c | 1,790$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Rockets | 55c | 1,786$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Rockets | 31c | 1,775$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Bucks | 50c | 1,768$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 43c | 1,690$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…d492backed Rockets | 61c | 1,680$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…1c3bbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,667$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…6b6bbacked Rockets | 62c | 1,667$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Bucks | 40c | 1,659$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.79 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Rockets | 60c | 1,656$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.45 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,645$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks | 39c | 1,618$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.11 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Bucks | 70c | 1,617$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Rockets | 62c | 1,604$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.13 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Bucks | 40c | 1,599$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.52 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Bucks | 36c | 1,526$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Rockets | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 34c | 1,508$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.54 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rockets | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bucks | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Rockets | 32c | 1,475$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.3 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 35c | 1,456$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Bucks | 66c | 1,434$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.81 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Bucks | 70c | 1,383$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.78 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bucks | 78c | 1,368$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.22 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Bucksthis page
- Rockets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.