NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce4b244dda4fe0678468cc21fcb4c4ccfdf20c2a81e947167012e84e71a4fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 52c | 30,008$15,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,360.11 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Under | 50c | 16,555$8,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,263.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 16,333$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,682$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…3ca9backed Under | 51c | 1,324$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 47c | 1,077$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.22 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 782.74$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 771$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 532.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 482.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.65 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Over | 52c | 444.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 409.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 320.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…4f17backed Under | 75c | 236.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 39c | 225.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Over | 52c | 138.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 53c | 131.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 52c | 115.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…fea4backed Over | 51c | 111.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 95.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…34fabacked Over | 52c | 70.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Over | 46c | 55.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7a7dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…13d8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…50e7backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +226.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…1fa6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…044dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…3d37backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…c9ddbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424b…ed19backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5this page
- Rockets vs. BucksRockets won
- Rockets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.