TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa960…dbeb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$17.83
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$23.19
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.73
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Femasys (FEMY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.07
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.99
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.96
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$44.38
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+283.3%+$37.22
Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+141.9%+$35.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+196.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+244.7%+$64.39
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+147.7%+$175.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$20.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on October 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.