Earnings · resolved market
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb911cf616aace6c1d9fd0e9f7a8cf6c5dbfdc81cc2c169f99acfc49dbb3e1f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 14c | 2,628$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.44 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 38c | 1,074$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 8c | 570.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 21c | 320$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 36c | 308.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 21c | 284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 32c | 250.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…2786backed No | 18c | 244.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 63c | 204.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 63c | 194.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 21c | 188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 21c | 156.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 16c | 146.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 71c | 141.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 133.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Yes | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 80c | 129.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 125.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 49c | 119.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 79c | 114$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 64c | 110.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…905dbacked Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…b932backed No | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3faebacked No | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…81ddbacked Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…31ddbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Yes | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 14c | 97.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…9a85backed No | 13c | 96.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 25c | 91.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 90.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 64c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Yes | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 79.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7ef9backed No | 49c | 75.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Yes | 78c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 79c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked No | 22c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Yes | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…fe7ebacked Yes | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 36c | 61.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…5ab5backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…58f5backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +81%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…d65cbacked Yes | 78c | 51.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 33c | 48.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed No | 35c | 46.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes | 77c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…2a77backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…b6dcbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…0d31backed Yes | 80c | 34.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…cbe7backed Yes | 80c | 30.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…e9e6backed Yes | 80c | 29.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…5d83backed Yes | 78c | 29.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…b75abacked Yes | 80c | 27.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed Yes | 71c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…8147backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 59c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d8d1backed Yes | 78c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.