South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf003fc1b749488a2ce384263a3bab2422f7d4969a6ea7e1b2266ca817d4f7e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 4,824$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.8 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,653$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 34c | 952.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa585…a793backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…760dbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 451.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…a9b1backed Yes | 31c | 450$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 309.09$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 199$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Yes | 29c | 173.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…0a8fbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…7edcbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…b072backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 42c | 111.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked Yes | 29c | 90.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 27c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 66c | 41.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.