Earnings · resolved market
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3553f79810f95fb8b12c84ac37bb4804e6d3710baed016c273c6314780156bce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc92d…2339backed No | 19c | 4,866$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 14c | 1,386$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 23c | 699.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 628.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 534.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed No | 7c | 495.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 76c | 394.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 341.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 5c | 303.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 80c | 280$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 277.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 17c | 264.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 22c | 233.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 21c | 213.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 14c | 198.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 23c | 188.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 10c | 149.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 80c | 144$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…bb1bbacked Yes | 77c | 130.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 79c | 125.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 80c | 119.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked No | 17c | 118.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…ccf3backed No | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked No | 22c | 111.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 100.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…bfa8backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…afdbbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 80c | 98.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed Yes | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 77c | 77.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 14c | 73.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…9ecabacked Yes | 80c | 68.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 23c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…f8d4backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…110fbacked Yes | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 80c | 40.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes | 80c | 36.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…b534backed Yes | 79c | 35.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…1b17backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d3…3972backed Yes | 79c | 32.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…7c93backed Yes | 80c | 29.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…234bbacked Yes | 79c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…f2d1backed Yes | 80c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e95…989abacked Yes | 80c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…9d13backed Yes | 80c | 27.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 75c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…5d1dbacked Yes | 80c | 26.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…573cbacked Yes | 79c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…5fcfbacked Yes | 79c | 25.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…02d9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…c111backed Yes | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b18…5f70backed Yes | 80c | 23.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…d6a3backed Yes | 79c | 23.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…ea4abacked Yes | 79c | 23.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…f3f6backed Yes | 80c | 22.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…5972backed Yes | 80c | 22.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…0e8dbacked Yes | 80c | 22.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…3e38backed Yes | 80c | 22.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…ed8dbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…1823backed Yes | 80c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…d4f8backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…8909backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…015dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6960…6f10backed Yes | 80c | 16.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…3990backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…0e1dbacked Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…69c9backed Yes | 80c | 12.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…e32dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.