TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0f6…451c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
397
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT17137.4%64 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.32
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.83
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$80.99
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$186.96
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.21
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.79
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT15812%19 W · 139 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+149.4%+$70.81
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$87.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$167.68
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.64
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.57
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Magic (-16.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$58.75
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+194.1%+$99
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.5
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.2
Blues vs. Wildbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Blues vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+98%+$41.79
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$252
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$662
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.82
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$173
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$219.2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$55.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.