NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafdd62a8c64d37d02610e112f9ed3928893ad00f7e2c70d4ace7ee227bf260a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,645 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 51c | 101,718$51,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,841.89 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 48c | 48,271$23,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,170.03 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 52c | 45,767$23,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,968.19 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Knicks | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 49c | 32,111$15,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,734.49 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Knicks | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.87 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Thunder | 49c | 21,663$10,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,614.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Thunder | 48c | 16,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 51c | 11,436$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 48c | 9,501$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.46 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Thunder | 48c | 8,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.97 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Knicks | 52c | 7,966$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.61 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…61b7backed Thunder | 48c | 7,400$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Knicks | 51c | 5,690$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.2 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Thunder | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Thunder | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.82 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks | 52c | 4,985$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.09 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…9d26backed Knicks | 52c | 4,964$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Knicks | 48c | 4,570$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Thunder | 48c | 4,337$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks | 51c | 4,153$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.94 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Thunder | 50c | 3,967$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 3,711$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 53c | 3,661$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 3,534$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 49c | 3,477$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.6 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Knicks | 53c | 3,141$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.64 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Knicks | 50c | 3,001$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Thunder | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,766$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,732$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Knicks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…87fabacked Knicks | 52c | 2,436$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Thunder | 49c | 2,219$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.53 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Thunder | 48c | 2,090$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Knicks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 51c | 1,923$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed Thunder | 50c | 1,798$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,680$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 49c | 1,479$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Thunder | 26c | 1,360$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…3909backed Thunder | 50c | 1,360$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…310fbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…cdafbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…4eebbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…9f30backed Thunder | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…17bdbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…54f2backed Knicks | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…38fabacked Knicks | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Thunder | 48c | 1,258$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.97 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…76d5backed Thunder | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…5914backed Thunder | 50c | 1,208$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae1…91b3backed Knicks | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 49c | 1,202$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Thunder | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…e611backed Knicks | 50c | 1,198$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…b2c8backed Knicks | 50c | 1,188$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…be6abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…bb72backed Knicks | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…90fabacked Thunder | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…818dbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b14bbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…1dd5backed Knicks | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…3e22backed Thunder | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…7daabacked Knicks | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…c575backed Thunder | 50c | 1,123$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…34d5backed Knicks | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 52c | 1,105$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…bad7backed Thunder | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…b236backed Knicks | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…69acbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…8082backed Thunder | 50c | 1,085$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,080$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.53 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…b070backed Knicks | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…8ff7backed Thunder | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…194ebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…720ebacked Knicks | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…3c23backed Knicks | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…bca3backed Thunder | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5efcbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…a3eabacked Knicks | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Thunder | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Knicks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Knicks | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 48c | 958.62$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Knicks | 53c | 950.57$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.