NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4e61cf418a58c1a50784d5e32135a76d1712836ffd1bfe66db13b8e46b0513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,829 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa90c…3b42backed Over | 48c | 7,116$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Over | 48c | 5,875$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…22b1backed Under | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…c231backed Under | 52c | 4,593$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e150backed Under | 52c | 3,206$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 3,058$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,545$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.58 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 56c | 1,029$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc100…9e17backed Under | 52c | 823$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…327bbacked Under | 52c | 771$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…d364backed Under | 52c | 682$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…36acbacked Under | 52c | 618$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…ade0backed Over | 48c | 424$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9878…567bbacked Over | 48c | 422$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…4749backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…8d6fbacked Over | 48c | 399$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…328dbacked Over | 48c | 349$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 319.25$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…d2d0backed Over | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…5551backed Over | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…77c3backed Over | 48c | 262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 45c | 223.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 196.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Under | 55c | 192.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 104.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Over | 45c | 97.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 49c | 96.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Over | 45c | 94.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 52c | 69.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 65.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 64.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 63.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 61.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 97 | 68%66 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Under | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 55c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 46c | 49.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 48.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 41.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 46c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 46c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 46c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.