NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774f9c01cd3355bdfa18d6f02fab2a28249a4c27306aa06adbaa2ce37865e8f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,814 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 10,398$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 5,890$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…6391backed Over | 50c | 5,552$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…85bcbacked Under | 50c | 5,029$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 4,999$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.74 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…59a0backed Under | 50c | 4,572$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…c6a4backed Over | 48c | 4,400$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 50c | 4,300$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.3 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed Over | 50c | 3,605$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 2,961$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,435$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 1,348$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.38 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 47c | 682.98$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 589.33$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 562.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…882abacked Over | 50c | 480.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 49c | 418.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 402.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 345.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 337.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 52c | 294.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 48c | 252.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 77c | 247.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 11c | 247.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 51c | 228.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 194.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 182.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 49c | 160.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 149.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 53c | 143.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 115.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Under | 50c | 96.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Under | 72c | 78.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 52c | 77.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 61.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…4423backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 52c | 42.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 48c | 42.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.