NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6811d0bb5dc9e4c639f452f786fb7f3f012b6a5d8becc00879486e7cd9da66a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,850 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 85,492$42,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,846.08 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 50,500$25,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,249.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 32,000$16,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,880 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 29,625$14,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,812.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 19,988$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.1 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 50c | 19,587$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.86 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 51c | 19,382$9,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.82 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 16,814$8,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.08 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 14,439$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 12,125$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Over | 51c | 11,932$6,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 11,058$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 54c | 9,297$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.95 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…f8e6backed Under | 47c | 6,153$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…dd5fbacked Under | 47c | 5,986$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 5,890$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…ca51backed Under | 50c | 5,752$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…b429backed Over | 53c | 5,215$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…4249backed Over | 53c | 5,063$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,942$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 51c | 4,164$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,113$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Over | 50c | 3,998$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.87 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Over | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 3,505$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 3,504$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,218$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.77 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,742$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Under | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 29c | 2,541$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 2,388$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 2,152$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.77 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.71 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Over | 53c | 1,930$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Over | 54c | 1,929$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.54 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8839backed Over | 53c | 1,861$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 1,663$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.2 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,491$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 10c | 1,445$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…c431backed Over | 52c | 1,358$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Over | 50c | 1,319$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 52c | 1,312$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.38 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,309$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 53c | 1,200$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.3 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 1,047$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Under | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 51c | 989.99$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 973.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 943.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.57 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Under | 49c | 898$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 49c | 855.32$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 848.43$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 48c | 846.43$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.14 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 828.1$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.61 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 21c | 794.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 678.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 49c | 620.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.46 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 612.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.29 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…3d60backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 26c | 583.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 26c | 543.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 508.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…de94backed Under | 47c | 499$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 47c | 449.17$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 446.24$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…91e2backed Under | 47c | 429$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Over | 50c | 425$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…9349backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 51c | 390.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Under | 52c | 381.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 50c | 337.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…4890backed Under | 50c | 318$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…fae1backed Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Under | 48c | 308.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.