NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083e9935488b5eacc9ce609170cd88527d9f34803d22c5ce61f5112491041abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,256 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 53c | 46,696$24,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,738.71 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Knicks | 47c | 27,296$12,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,467.04 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 53c | 19,361$10,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.35 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…ea04backed Knicks | 47c | 16,153$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks | 47c | 9,681$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.85 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 53c | 9,357$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.1 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Knicks | 47c | 8,085$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.11 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Thunder | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 47c | 6,556$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…c25fbacked Knicks | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…ca51backed Knicks | 47c | 5,966$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Knicks | 48c | 4,580$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.58 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 52c | 4,411$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 53c | 4,338$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Knicks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.97 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks | 47c | 3,930$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.67 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Thunder | 53c | 3,004$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.12 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Thunder | 54c | 2,588$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.6 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 48c | 2,292$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,062$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.35 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Knicks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 51c | 1,990$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Thunder | 55c | 1,909$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.37 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 48c | 1,831$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 55c | 1,829$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,680$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,519$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 53c | 1,387$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks | 37c | 1,377$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.94 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,067$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Knicks | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 47c | 777.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 47c | 644$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 50c | 612.56$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Knicks | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…e52abacked Thunder | 73c | 559.98$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 52c | 553.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Knicks | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 46c | 521.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 50c | 517.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Knicks | 48c | 500.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks | 58c | 431.01$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Knicks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 53c | 399.96$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Thunder | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks | 47c | 347.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks | 47c | 336$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 46c | 281.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks | 47c | 268$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Thunder | 53c | 261.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Knicks | 55c | 254.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 50c | 237.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 62c | 225.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Thunder | 53c | 222.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Thunder | 43c | 219.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Knicks | 71c | 204.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 53c | 200.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Knicks | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Thunder | 54c | 192.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks | 53c | 190.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Knicks | 65c | 187.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Thunder | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 43c | 165.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 46c | 160.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 53c | 136.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Thunder | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9dd2backed Thunder | 49c | 125.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Thunder | 40c | 124.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 48c | 122.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Knicks | 48c | 120.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Knicks | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks | 26c | 119.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Thunder | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Thunder | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Thunder | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Thunder | 69c | 98.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Knicks | 48c | 97.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Knicks | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Thunder | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Knicks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Thunder | 61c | 81.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Thunder | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Knicks | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Thunder | 46c | 80.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.