TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,283,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,283,774 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks40c229,985$91,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,99436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Knicks39c109,429$42,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,677.446155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder63c85,825$54,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,813.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Thunder61c80,327$48,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,327.4843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Thunder61c72,589$44,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,338.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks37c52,754$19,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,384.992,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks39c51,792$20,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,065.1787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Thunder61c48,650$29,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,973.3211955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Thunder62c45,848$28,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,196.221,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks31c43,735$13,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,644.6177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks20c40,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks38c39,999$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,199.781,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Knicks33c36,098$11,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,851.4910239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder61c32,975$20,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,879.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.9959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Thunder61c30,000$18,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,649.856445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder62c29,783$18,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Thunder80c28,942$23,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,788.3519033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Thunder75c28,791$21,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,105.2810952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder62c28,000$17,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6407759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks30c27,283$8,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,193.411,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Knicks40c25,458$10,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,296.842748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Knicks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks18c25,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder60c24,255$14,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,642.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Knicks25c22,391$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder79c22,289$17,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks29c21,974$6,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,362.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks32c21,692$6,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,857.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks9c21,526$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.8362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Knicks40c21,482$8,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,592.974259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Knicks38c21,156$8,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,039.165646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Knicks39c20,094$7,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,787.788944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Knicks39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8003259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Thunder61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.863177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks33c19,781$6,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,595.489343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks38c19,607$7,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,451.4151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Thunder50c18,858$9,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,491.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Knicks28c18,548$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.842744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Knicks39c17,949$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00010352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder61c17,329$10,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,803.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Knicks38c17,312$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.6319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Thunder62c16,200$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,200.485248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Thunder64c16,014$10,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,827.1862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks38c15,785$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.291,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Knicks39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8509018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.9432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Thunder61c14,990$9,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Knicks50c14,427$7,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.7223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks20c13,388$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.5719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Thunder74c13,361$9,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.2210757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Thunder71c13,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks18c12,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Knicks40c12,081$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.2710850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6233…6349backed Knicks43c11,862$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.693467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Thunder64c11,153$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.0717962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder62c11,102$6,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks0c11,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Knicks39c10,751$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.7827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder62c10,484$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.8742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder60c10,376$6,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.321,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder68c10,259$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder76c10,050$7,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.185,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Thunder61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Knicks39c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.996023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Knicks39c9,900$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86110035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Thunder61c9,900$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.979758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Knicks38c9,785$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.2362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks23c8,241$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.211,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Knicks31c8,144$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.0531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder62c8,110$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Thunder70c8,080$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4243455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Thunder62c8,007$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.9917246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks32c8,000$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.4382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Thunder60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Thunder61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder63c7,871$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.6529250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder61c7,825$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Thunder71c7,390$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.248956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Thunder68c7,311$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.227656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Knicks39c7,300$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8478441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Thunder61c7,300$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8475444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder59c7,262$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.3134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Thunder70c7,219$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.9276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Thunder61c7,004$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.121675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4f…f2a1backed Thunder60c7,000$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7851478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Knicks38c6,845$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.938348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder79c6,835$5,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.782,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Knicks39c6,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5356943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder61c6,500$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Thunder60c6,450$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5806347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…be5dbacked Thunder63c6,040$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder70c6,027$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks22c6,018$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.1864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Thunder61c6,017$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.7447043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks0c6,011$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.228820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Knicks30c6,008$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.778440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3512…0e4abacked Thunder50c6,000$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.75837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.