NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62443d7c2ddf909308e6bb3430ff8cc08a1e07b682a25b21ab0dd59f2947a320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,283,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,283,774 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks | 40c | 229,985$91,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,994 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Knicks | 39c | 109,429$42,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,677.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 63c | 85,825$54,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,813.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Thunder | 61c | 80,327$48,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,327.48 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Thunder | 61c | 72,589$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,338.5 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 37c | 52,754$19,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,384.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 39c | 51,792$20,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,065.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Thunder | 61c | 48,650$29,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,973.32 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 62c | 45,848$28,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,196.22 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks | 31c | 43,735$13,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,644.61 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Knicks | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 38c | 39,999$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Knicks | 33c | 36,098$11,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.49 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 61c | 32,975$20,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,879.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Thunder | 61c | 30,000$18,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,649.85 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 62c | 29,783$18,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Thunder | 80c | 28,942$23,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.35 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Thunder | 75c | 28,791$21,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.28 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder | 62c | 28,000$17,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,640 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks | 30c | 27,283$8,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,193.41 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Knicks | 40c | 25,458$10,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Knicks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Knicks | 18c | 25,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 60c | 24,255$14,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,642.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Knicks | 25c | 22,391$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 79c | 22,289$17,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 29c | 21,974$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 32c | 21,692$6,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,857.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks | 9c | 21,526$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.83 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Knicks | 40c | 21,482$8,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,592.97 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Knicks | 38c | 21,156$8,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,039.16 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Knicks | 39c | 20,094$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.78 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Knicks | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Thunder | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.86 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks | 33c | 19,781$6,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595.48 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Knicks | 38c | 19,607$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,451.41 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Thunder | 50c | 18,858$9,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,491.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Knicks | 28c | 18,548$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.84 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Knicks | 39c | 17,949$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 61c | 17,329$10,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Knicks | 38c | 17,312$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.63 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Thunder | 62c | 16,200$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Thunder | 64c | 16,014$10,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,827.18 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 38c | 15,785$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Knicks | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.94 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Thunder | 61c | 14,990$9,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.1 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Knicks | 50c | 14,427$7,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.72 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks | 20c | 13,388$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.57 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 74c | 13,361$9,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.22 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 71c | 13,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 18c | 12,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Knicks | 40c | 12,081$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.27 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Knicks | 43c | 11,862$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Thunder | 64c | 11,153$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.07 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 62c | 11,102$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.3 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks | 0c | 11,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Knicks | 39c | 10,751$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.78 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 62c | 10,484$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.87 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 60c | 10,376$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.32 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 68c | 10,259$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.9 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 76c | 10,050$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Thunder | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Knicks | 39c | 10,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Knicks | 39c | 9,900$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Thunder | 61c | 9,900$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.97 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Knicks | 38c | 9,785$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.23 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 23c | 8,241$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Knicks | 31c | 8,144$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.05 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 62c | 8,110$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.8 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Thunder | 70c | 8,080$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Thunder | 62c | 8,007$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.99 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks | 32c | 8,000$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.43 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Thunder | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder | 63c | 7,871$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.65 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 61c | 7,825$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Thunder | 71c | 7,390$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.2 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Thunder | 68c | 7,311$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.22 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Knicks | 39c | 7,300$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Thunder | 61c | 7,300$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 59c | 7,262$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.31 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 70c | 7,219$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.92 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Thunder | 61c | 7,004$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…f2a1backed Thunder | 60c | 7,000$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Knicks | 38c | 6,845$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.93 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 79c | 6,835$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.78 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Knicks | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…91bbbacked Thunder | 60c | 6,450$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…be5dbacked Thunder | 63c | 6,040$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 70c | 6,027$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks | 22c | 6,018$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.18 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Thunder | 61c | 6,017$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.74 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks | 0c | 6,011$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Knicks | 30c | 6,008$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.77 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…0e4abacked Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.