NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93045e16670a09f3713d7fcb6b7af96068b4d6a165ffb022d364298d90357c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,277$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 53c | 5,053$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 5c | 668.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 455.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 429.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 52c | 429.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 237.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 119.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 119.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…66c2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 183 | 17.5%32 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 53c | 99.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 72c | 77.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 49c | 61.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 51c | 61.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 47c | 59.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Over | 53c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 47c | 53.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 53c | 52.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 46.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…e204backed Over | 54c | 25.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Knicks won
- Thunder vs. KnicksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.