TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb90…c431

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,097.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.06
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$517
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$266.96
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43.2%+$641.04
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,108.59
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+79.5%+$158.91
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$798.04
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.71
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$1,152.89
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$329.88
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$94.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.