TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Blackhawks, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blackhawks25c193,304$48,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,705.619848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche75c109,594$81,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,946.2338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche75c19,248$14,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8125261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blackhawks24c18,634$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,472.2848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Avalanche74c13,836$10,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.225046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche75c12,583$9,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.0561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks25c12,564$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.141,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche76c9,228$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.0740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche74c8,847$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.2621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Blackhawks29c8,484$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.6542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche73c6,660$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blackhawks12c6,145$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.3339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blackhawks33c6,058$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.1458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Avalanche75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Avalanche55c5,498$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks43c5,396$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.13,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche75c5,000$3,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.281,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Blackhawks24c4,824$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.7615949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Blackhawks6c4,619$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.871625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche76c4,449$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.561,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche76c4,374$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.511,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Avalanche59c4,334$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.941450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche67c4,145$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.591,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche74c3,854$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.491,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Avalanche58c3,713$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.4921555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Blackhawks26c3,700$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.7922946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche77c3,280$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.2685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche64c2,861$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.272,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks39c2,587$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.511,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Avalanche78c2,580$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.776949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Blackhawks45c2,544$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.31861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Avalanche74c2,438$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.783661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche76c2,341$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.9215054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…2a04backed Blackhawks25c2,306$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Blackhawks23c2,144$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0411553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blackhawks25c2,054$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks43c1,977$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.772,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Avalanche63c1,967$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.363562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blackhawks25c1,884$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0260249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche77c1,780$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Avalanche69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.137361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Blackhawks39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Blackhawks43c1,648$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2735829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb2c…e9a0backed Avalanche62c1,621$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche55c1,570$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.7899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blackhawks25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks25c1,500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Blackhawks40c1,471$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.343354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche75c1,327$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7914654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Blackhawks25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blackhawks4c1,150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche59c1,121$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0836948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche75c1,111$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Blackhawks51c1,073$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Avalanche68c1,055$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Blackhawks1c1,024$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.943342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c521backed Avalanche60c989.8$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Avalanche57c970.38$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0651949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche75c966$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.51,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Blackhawks52c965.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Avalanche75c935$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Avalanche75c870$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.522352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Avalanche77c864.94$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.948845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Avalanche58c864.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.744546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks23c860.19$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.841,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche74c854.4$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.41,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Blackhawks25c801.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche75c770.73$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Blackhawks36c769.21$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Avalanche73c737.22$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.224454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Avalanche79c721.33$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.256657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Avalanche74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1827671.1%54 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Avalanche59c683.22$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.124341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Avalanche75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ee…0991backed Avalanche75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f91…1e15backed Blackhawks34c654.8$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Avalanche75c615.35$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Blackhawks35c615.35$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Avalanche76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blackhawks24c599.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcec…1997backed Avalanche75c593.71$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.612755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Avalanche77c549.35$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Blackhawks37c544.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.442254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Avalanche52c520.85$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Avalanche65c515.07$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1871952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20525552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Blackhawks25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Avalanche61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Avalanche58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Avalanche74c499.96$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Avalanche60c496.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6625052.8%132 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks24c480.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Avalanche77c480.52$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Avalanche75c463.03$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4232150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fc…6c84backed Avalanche54c442.59$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.593759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Avalanche56c436.8$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3822728.2%64 W · 163 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.