NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7afbc78ae5f107a914ea8b9f4a0c99c2f5aa95301c881f74a66a54899bb005a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 53c | 46,682$24,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,077.57 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 11,435$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.45 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 48c | 7,760$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 4,964$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 4,240$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 47c | 3,341$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.27 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,802$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.54 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,529$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,143$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,084$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.6 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 999$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 899.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 695$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 585.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 47c | 408$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 381.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 51c | 345$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Over | 47c | 341.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 315.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 46c | 277.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 147.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 126.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 123.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…2767backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 52c | 103.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Under | 54c | 92.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 54c | 51.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…b4f1backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 54c | 30.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…30ffbacked Over | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.