NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3fa28784333b88844fddb4676a75592321e827d7a1eb4bc99f11eda5170ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,354$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.41 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 44c | 2,203$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blackhawks | 52c | 1,001$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.74 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 56c | 959$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 711.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 71c | 595.35$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Blackhawks | 46c | 560.15$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks | 44c | 493.73$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche | 70c | 289.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Blackhawks | 53c | 275.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 54c | 258.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blackhawks | 45c | 251.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Blackhawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blackhawks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 180.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Avalanche | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Avalanche | 42c | 170$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 36c | 160.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 155.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blackhawks | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blackhawks | 61c | 113.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blackhawks | 45c | 101.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Blackhawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blackhawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Avalanche | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Avalanche | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Avalanche | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avalanche | 63c | 93.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks | 57c | 91.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Avalanche | 42c | 59.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Blackhawks | 56c | 55.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed Blackhawks | 46c | 55.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Avalanche | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Avalanche | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 27.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Blackhawks | 45c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Blackhawks | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Blackhawks | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Avalanche | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Blackhawks | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.