NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707f4f2f8ecf9658aa9c9f4c085b62816b2367357dca104aaa34b11beff985e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,101,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,510,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,101,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 338,791$159,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,558.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Nuggets | 46c | 315,098$144,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,152.69 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 54c | 191,530$102,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,468.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 53c | 173,572$92,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,208.57 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Spurs | 58c | 148,378$85,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,359.67 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…63b9backed Spurs | 0c | 125,048$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 36c | 122,430$43,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,813.11 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Spurs | 56c | 110,683$61,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,982.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 106,030$48,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,256.47 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 103,000$48,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,590 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 57c | 96,922$55,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,473.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Spurs | 54c | 87,777$47,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,371.81 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 38c | 87,776$32,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,989.44 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nuggets | 40c | 85,190$33,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,266.57 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 57c | 68,571$38,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,981.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Spurs | 63c | 67,331$42,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,119.27 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 37c | 63,798$23,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,939.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 55c | 61,542$33,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,548.25 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spurs | 70c | 59,205$41,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,155.91 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 53c | 58,745$31,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,288.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets | 34c | 57,392$19,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,728.25 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Nuggets | 29c | 48,417$14,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,202.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 47,651$12,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Nuggets | 42c | 43,618$18,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,130.6 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 41,765$18,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,313.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 52c | 41,520$21,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,722.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 41,200$19,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,836 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs | 56c | 41,033$22,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,967.75 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs | 77c | 36,079$27,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,640.32 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Spurs | 53c | 36,044$19,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,103.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 35,934$16,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,287.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Spurs | 72c | 34,731$25,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,050.39 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Spurs | 74c | 34,579$25,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,470.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 45c | 32,273$14,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,750.08 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Spurs | 55c | 31,136$17,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,124.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nuggets | 47c | 29,918$13,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,956.41 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs | 53c | 29,895$15,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,844.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 72c | 27,911$20,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Spurs | 65c | 26,058$16,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,975.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 71c | 25,500$17,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.45 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Nuggets | 45c | 24,439$10,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,481.11 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Nuggets | 46c | 24,179$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,056.58 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Spurs | 66c | 23,476$15,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,448.52 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Nuggets | 44c | 22,499$9,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,632.88 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 63c | 21,599$13,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,587.06 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs | 53c | 21,000$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…e65ebacked Spurs | 79c | 20,150$15,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,950.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Nuggets | 21c | 20,140$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,848.11 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Spurs | 54c | 20,020$10,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.76 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Spurs | 56c | 20,020$11,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,210.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Spurs | 66c | 19,695$13,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,067 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 54c | 18,007$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nuggets | 42c | 17,913$7,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,389.57 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs | 58c | 17,809$10,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,362.55 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 44c | 17,796$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.91 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Nuggets | 46c | 17,521$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,461.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Spurs | 64c | 17,307$11,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,116.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 57c | 16,693$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.63 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 44c | 16,598$7,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,294.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 45c | 16,301$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,965.82 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nuggets | 46c | 16,192$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,743.82 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 77c | 16,051$12,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,369.05 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 43c | 15,221$6,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,674.77 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Nuggets | 47c | 14,921$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.13 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets | 27c | 14,771$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.55 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 54c | 14,406$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.2 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Spurs | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Nuggets | 37c | 13,740$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 31c | 13,701$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.21 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets | 45c | 13,015$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.17 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Nuggets | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Nuggets | 45c | 12,669$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 44c | 12,666$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.93 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…8ed6backed Spurs | 54c | 12,631$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs | 1c | 12,321$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Spurs | 56c | 12,130$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,816.01 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Nuggets | 44c | 12,000$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 43c | 10,797$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…5ed3backed Nuggets | 43c | 10,790$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Nuggets | 45c | 10,744$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.44 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 69c | 10,399$7,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Spurs | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.94 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 66c | 9,358$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.55 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Spurs | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Spurs | 57c | 8,954$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Spurs | 9c | 8,858$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.39 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Spurs | 63c | 8,855$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.06 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Spurs | 60c | 8,663$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.49 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 57c | 8,633$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.13 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Spurs | 57c | 8,584$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.22 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…b1bcbacked Nuggets | 37c | 8,100$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Spurs | 53c | 7,911$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.09 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,700$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 61c | 7,644$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.22 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed Spurs | 56c | 7,555$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.99 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 67c | 7,310$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.4 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Nuggets | 27c | 7,203$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.