NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751b0edff7f38c90138d99246763550a4daf4556b9b2add241098c16928e39d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 51c | 14,979$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,871$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074.41 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 51c | 9,852$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.29 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,436$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.42 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…33f1backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,146$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,131$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.27 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…2345backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…e402backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,669$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.46 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 51c | 2,200$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.93 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,033$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,023$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…90c8backed Spurs | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…6466backed Spurs | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…78adbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,090$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 49c | 984.93$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.31 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets | 54c | 805.35$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…2287backed Spurs | 52c | 744.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Nuggets | 50c | 547.08$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Spurs | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 487.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 50c | 471.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 32c | 457.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 49c | 397.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nuggets | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nuggets | 51c | 386.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Spurs | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Spurs | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs | 52c | 373.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Nuggets | 51c | 370.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Spurs | 52c | 351.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 56c | 318.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Spurs | 68c | 289.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 47c | 257.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Spurs | 52c | 244.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 47c | 237.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 46c | 213.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Nuggets | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 47c | 182.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Spurs | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Spurs | 51c | 142.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 51c | 124.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Spurs | 51c | 113.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Spurs | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 50c | 99.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Spurs | 51c | 99.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Spurs | 52c | 97.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets | 66c | 95.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Spurs | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Spurs | 51c | 95.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 50c | 94.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Spurs | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 87.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Spurs | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Nuggets | 50c | 83.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Spurs | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 50c | 69.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 50c | 68.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 65.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Spurs | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 52c | 59.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Spurs | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuggets | 29c | 55.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Spurs | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Nuggets | 49c | 49.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Spurs | 52c | 49.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Spurs | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 49c | 46.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 48c | 43.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Spurs | 52c | 41.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Nuggets | 49c | 39.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Spurs | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Spurs | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Spurs | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Spurs | 51c | 37.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed Spurs | 52c | 37.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Spurs | 72c | 34.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Spurs | 50c | 34.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Spurs | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Spurs | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…418dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 27.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs | 44c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…385fbacked Spurs | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Spurs | 67c | 19.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spurs vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.