NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db56c47cae89f57e5ce7c878a1795e2b137854e8df396d3c99582e8739d468f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,431,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,566,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 48c | 776,756$372,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372,672.8 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Nuggets | 52c | 566,723$294,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,027.02 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 52c | 194,794$100,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,899.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 91,679$48,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,089.25 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 47c | 79,972$37,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,586.91 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Nuggets | 53c | 49,979$26,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,490.23 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Spurs | 50c | 44,791$22,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,301.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Nuggets | 45c | 26,660$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,604.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 54c | 26,048$14,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,117.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 52c | 23,708$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,388.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 62c | 21,009$13,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,024.91 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs | 50c | 20,226$10,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,175.67 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 52c | 17,527$9,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,413.11 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 48c | 13,573$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 53c | 12,593$6,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.49 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 47c | 12,059$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 53c | 11,833$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Spurs | 47c | 10,249$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 47c | 10,035$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.28 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 9,581$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nuggets | 43c | 8,420$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.04 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 48c | 7,730$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.43 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7060backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,386$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…31a1backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,386$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 49c | 7,291$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.87 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,547$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,362$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.75 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spurs | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,541$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs | 48c | 4,057$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.3 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Spurs | 48c | 4,009$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,942$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.25 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,623$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.89 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs | 54c | 3,241$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.14 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…33f1backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,172$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,028$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.3 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Spurs | 49c | 3,022$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.93 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.23 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,770$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Spurs | 43c | 2,725$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.15 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,700$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 63c | 2,674$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Nuggets | 44c | 2,204$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 48c | 2,193$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.64 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Spurs | 37c | 2,112$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.51 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Nuggets | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,931$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.98 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,880$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.61 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…70f4backed Spurs | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 54c | 1,814$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,748$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.12 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,544$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.12 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,541$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,442$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.19 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 47c | 1,329$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.63 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,327$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 47c | 1,297$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.66 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuggets | 32c | 1,251$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.49 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Spurs | 47c | 1,245$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spurs | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.82 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,187$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Spurs | 66c | 1,183$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,142$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,098$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.01 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,093$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.95 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Spurs | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,017$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.58 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,010$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Spurs | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,008$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.78 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 52c | 999.92$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Spurs | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Spurs | 46c | 949.79$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.9 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Spurs | 59c | 936.21$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.12 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 901.87$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.35 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 54c | 890.72$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Spurs | 55c | 870.11$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Spurs | 69c | 837.96$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Spurs | 67c | 828.29$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Nuggets | 50c | 816.74$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Spurs | 48c | 801.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.61 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…df66backed Spurs | 65c | 785.8$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 48c | 767.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.63 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Nuggets | 52c | 757.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.54 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nuggets | 26c | 735.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.14 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 39c | 688.69$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.79 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Nuggets | 52c | 678.96$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Nuggets | 50c | 666.71$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.42 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Nuggets | 52c | 647.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.94 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Nuggets | 53c | 645.75$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Nuggets | 42c | 643.14$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.19 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Spurs | 48c | 634.38$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.19 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Spurs | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 612.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spurs vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.