NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929298e268cb30cf67f3d32f3740e202706bac3008caa901b3ba407d315b006c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 49,901$25,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,948.38 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 51c | 43,559$22,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,343.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 24,694$12,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,563.45 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 22,518$11,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,226.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 63c | 12,119$7,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 11,558$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 10,388$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 48c | 7,534$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.87 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 50c | 5,304$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.76 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 5,079$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.64 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,207$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 3,523$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.58 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 52c | 2,890$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.48 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 52c | 2,886$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.5 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 2,773$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.79 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,729$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 50c | 2,237$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.66 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 1,838$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.91 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,758$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 1,622$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.4 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 48c | 1,460$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.48 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.52 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,324$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 1,185$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 1,154$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 968$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 917.84$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 876.04$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 48c | 824.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 51c | 789.6$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 48c | 720.75$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.51 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 50c | 679$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Under | 19c | 676.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 50c | 559.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.85 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 13c | 553.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 26c | 529.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 51c | 514.01$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 11c | 503.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 52c | 496.81$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 489.44$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 50c | 444.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Under | 38c | 443.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 34c | 426.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 421.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Under | 52c | 398.19$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 66c | 394.71$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 39c | 390.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 377.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 374.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.12 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 48c | 353.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 304.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 17c | 300.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 299.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 50c | 295.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 73c | 294.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf197…6eb9backed Under | 32c | 287.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 287.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…6077backed Over | 54c | 270.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 258.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 254.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over | 48c | 240.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Under | 12c | 229.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…31e2backed Under | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 212.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 19c | 211.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 191.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 186.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Under | 15c | 184.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 51c | 177.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Under | 7c | 164.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 10c | 154.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Over | 50c | 152.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 32c | 150.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 29c | 150.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spurs vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.