TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb379…28fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT7234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$35.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 1 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$24.61
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$34.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.3
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.78
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$28.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.48
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.