CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x341bc3ab5745f19b4b5ad35569ef1225c48d8a19ea27e27254b53ec020c343ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $796,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz | 53c | 58,227$30,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,860.31 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 54c | 46,330$25,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,018.39 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Astralis | 50c | 46,158$23,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,144.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Astralis | 46c | 46,005$20,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,010.07 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…d705backed Astralis | 47c | 40,899$19,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,630.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 54c | 30,000$16,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,299.98 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 47c | 22,865$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,118.63 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Astralis | 48c | 21,761$10,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,218.8 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 40c | 17,611$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 45c | 16,191$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,904.86 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 16,147$8,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,073.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 54c | 15,504$8,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.34 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed TheMongolz | 45c | 15,000$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.23 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed TheMongolz | 53c | 10,919$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.33 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 66c | 9,036$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz | 16c | 8,193$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 48c | 7,963$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.37 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Astralis | 47c | 7,911$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 22c | 7,895$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.78 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 7,726$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.41 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 45c | 7,548$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.35 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz | 7c | 6,481$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.17 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 6,115$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.35 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 27c | 6,071$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 5,925$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.46 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Astralis | 75c | 5,335$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.5 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.95 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Astralis | 46c | 4,984$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.41 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Astralis | 47c | 4,716$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed TheMongolz | 29c | 4,456$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.78 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 4,341$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Astralis | 46c | 4,306$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 47c | 4,305$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Astralis | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.76 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Astralis | 47c | 4,124$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.7 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Astralis | 46c | 3,950$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Astralis | 46c | 3,907$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.35 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed TheMongolz | 54c | 3,835$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.04 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8584backed Astralis | 47c | 3,331$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 3,250$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed TheMongolz | 54c | 3,155$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 25c | 3,139$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.63 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 54c | 3,059$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.7 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Astralis | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed TheMongolz | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,971$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 2,791$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Astralis | 78c | 2,713$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.39 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 47c | 2,693$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.8 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…b201backed TheMongolz | 29c | 2,660$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 36c | 2,501$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 45c | 2,498$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.94 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 48c | 2,442$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.95 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 64c | 2,334$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.36 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 37c | 2,307$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.97 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed TheMongolz | 55c | 2,259$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.33 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz | 46c | 2,255$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.27 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 2,190$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.5 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed TheMongolz | 17c | 2,132$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed TheMongolz | 46c | 2,117$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.44 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Astralis | 67c | 2,109$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 60c | 2,089$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Astralis | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Astralis | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,976$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Astralis | 53c | 1,960$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.47 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed TheMongolz | 54c | 1,926$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.11 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Astralis | 47c | 1,906$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Astralis | 47c | 1,891$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked TheMongolz | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Astralis | 80c | 1,819$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.36 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed TheMongolz | 24c | 1,802$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.48 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 21c | 1,792$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Astralis | 55c | 1,776$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.37 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 54c | 1,718$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.36 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,690$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.36 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Astralis | 46c | 1,683$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.7 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 56c | 1,641$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.53 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Astralis | 47c | 1,568$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.15 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 21c | 1,450$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.23 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.26 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Astralis | 75c | 1,404$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.81 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 1,396$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,363$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.75 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,291$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.07 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked Astralis | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Astralis | 79c | 1,231$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,228$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,187$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 48c | 1,178$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.75 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Astralis | 77c | 1,102$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 1,098$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.