CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c5e66ac636f5d124dce6117647c6a89fd9dab6d22a803387c60b219279daf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 33c | 22,461$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.54 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Astralis | 73c | 10,232$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.86 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Astralis | 71c | 7,754$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.92 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Astralis | 65c | 5,743$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.49 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 44c | 5,075$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.31 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed TheMongolz | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 57c | 4,557$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.17 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 59c | 4,466$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis | 42c | 4,005$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.56 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 3,933$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.22 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Astralis | 69c | 3,690$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.64 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Astralis | 72c | 3,547$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.89 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 33c | 3,215$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,036$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.82 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Astralis | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed TheMongolz | 4c | 2,359$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 51c | 2,282$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.94 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 56c | 2,242$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.19 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz | 2c | 2,205$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed TheMongolz | 54c | 2,176$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.67 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Astralis | 53c | 2,174$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.38 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,083$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.21 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,902$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.3 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,830$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,731$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,725$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.47 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz | 23c | 1,607$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.49 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 58c | 1,440$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.71 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Astralis | 74c | 1,333$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Astralis | 52c | 1,240$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.19 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,200$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 33c | 1,155$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,085$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.17 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed TheMongolz | 33c | 1,011$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed TheMongolz | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz | 19c | 983.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Astralis | 43c | 977.02$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 44c | 968.88$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.57 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked TheMongolz | 54c | 962.01$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.29 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 938.34$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 936.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz | 57c | 876.95$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.58 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Astralis | 67c | 767$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz | 56c | 710.1$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis | 67c | 692.01$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.72 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 673.39$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 56c | 666.47$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.22 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 55c | 653.46$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 45c | 644.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Astralis | 58c | 628$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Astralis | 66c | 627.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed TheMongolz | 37c | 522.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed TheMongolz | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed TheMongolz | 4c | 471.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TheMongolz | 50c | 460.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 59c | 459.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 428$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Astralis | 61c | 402.3$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Astralis | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed TheMongolz | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Astralis | 66c | 371.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked TheMongolz | 38c | 366.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 70c | 359.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…3081backed Astralis | 67c | 357.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 345.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 337.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Astralis | 66c | 316.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Astralis | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed TheMongolz | 57c | 314.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 301.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed TheMongolz | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 291.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed Astralis | 75c | 287.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed TheMongolz | 37c | 270.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Astralis | 76c | 268.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz | 49c | 263$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 255.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked TheMongolz | 21c | 253.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed TheMongolz | 38c | 253.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed TheMongolz | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed TheMongolz | 59c | 246.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 49c | 245.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed TheMongolz | 16c | 244.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Astralis | 60c | 232$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Astralis | 62c | 228.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Astralis | 68c | 223.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…0518backed Astralis | 55c | 221.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed TheMongolz | 37c | 213.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Astralis | 55c | 209.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed TheMongolz | 52c | 201.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed TheMongolz | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Astralis | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Astralis | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 199.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed TheMongolz | 54c | 197.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…0b28backed TheMongolz | 9c | 196.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed TheMongolz | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.