CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14002c0dba8b3cf759b6f1cb46adc2374fff2908f92e90ca767e21ebee02cf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis | 57c | 14,733$8,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.26 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 35c | 13,676$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed TheMongolz | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed TheMongolz | 43c | 8,703$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.08 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 7,210$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.15 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Astralis | 40c | 6,472$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.37 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Astralis | 77c | 5,663$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.58 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis | 48c | 5,513$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.15 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 5,035$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.6 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis | 55c | 4,865$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.25 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 41c | 4,637$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.54 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed TheMongolz | 43c | 3,997$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.87 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 55c | 3,788$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.41 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 46c | 3,372$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.32 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,353$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 3,275$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.5 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed TheMongolz | 25c | 3,234$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 3,171$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 39c | 3,103$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,081$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 2,760$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.52 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Astralis | 71c | 2,596$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 2,532$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 18c | 2,411$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.34 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed TheMongolz | 64c | 2,300$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.63 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Astralis | 55c | 2,150$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,071$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,989$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.65 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 36c | 1,967$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,932$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.59 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 59c | 1,817$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.44 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 50c | 1,592$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.07 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed TheMongolz | 35c | 1,553$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.19 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,452$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.09 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Astralis | 58c | 1,365$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.18 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 63c | 1,339$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed TheMongolz | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 51c | 1,255$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 37c | 1,242$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.09 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked TheMongolz | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,180$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.46 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Astralis | 58c | 1,141$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.53 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 62c | 1,119$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.89 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 70c | 1,080$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed TheMongolz | 52c | 1,065$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.58 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed TheMongolz | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Astralis | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.87 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Astralis | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Astralis | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Astralis | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…6181backed Astralis | 57c | 975.55$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 859.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 60c | 796.12$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.72 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 46c | 793.52$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.45 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis | 56c | 743.08$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 729.26$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.72 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 53c | 729.01$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 724.3$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Astralis | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Astralis | 41c | 688.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Astralis | 56c | 628.95$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 53c | 626.9$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.64 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Astralis | 50c | 604.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed TheMongolz | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 61c | 559.89$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.7 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 47c | 550.13$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed TheMongolz | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Astralis | 65c | 529.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed TheMongolz | 55c | 527.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Astralis | 55c | 520.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 60c | 468.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 457.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 453.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed TheMongolz | 43c | 452.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Astralis | 58c | 419.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed TheMongolz | 68c | 416.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.51 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Astralis | 47c | 411.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Astralis | 48c | 403.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Astralis | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Astralis | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…3151backed Astralis | 76c | 387.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…7a82backed Astralis | 65c | 376.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TheMongolz | 43c | 371.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Astralis | 56c | 360.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis | 29c | 328.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed TheMongolz | 75c | 326.18$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Astralis | 48c | 314.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 35c | 313.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 48c | 302.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Astralis | 55c | 300.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Astralis | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astralis | 65c | 299.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked Astralis | 49c | 298.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed TheMongolz | 19c | 290.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.