CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cfcd42dde66491a422958a72bd0ae31964fbe04fe1824d7f5537b153f766ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd055…28d0backed aimclub | 16c | 1,758$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 78c | 1,694$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.78 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked aimclub | 25c | 712.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked aimclub | 19c | 610.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 590.97$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked aimclub | 39c | 275.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 239.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked aimclub | 15c | 199.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 78c | 185.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub | 37c | 183.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed aimclub | 26c | 181.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 178.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub | 14c | 177.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed aimclub | 18c | 143.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed aimclub | 16c | 118.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed aimclub | 16c | 115.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked aimclub | 13c | 115.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked aimclub | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9ce1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 80c | 92.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed aimclub | 47c | 82.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed aimclub | 53c | 72.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked aimclub | 41c | 66.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 61.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked aimclub | 21c | 51.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed aimclub | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 46c | 45.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…548fbacked aimclub | 45c | 43.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed aimclub | 50c | 42.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed aimclub | 48c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 80c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsaimclub won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 2 Winneraimclub won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.