CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738c8592aa83e9b2e222985545eebdf817b02506d800ad033100b643d931c385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 77c | 673.86$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Leo Team | 63c | 592.72$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 34c | 579.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Brute | 39c | 554.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Leo Team | 60c | 546.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Brute | 39c | 539.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Brute | 42c | 478.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brute | 25c | 437.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Leo Team | 59c | 305.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Brute | 7c | 290.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Leo Team | 70c | 281.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Leo Team | 57c | 259.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Brute | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Brute | 46c | 209.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Leo Team | 61c | 174.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…5ce7backed Brute | 9c | 171.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Leo Team | 66c | 156.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 8c | 127.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 78c | 123.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Leo Team | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Brute | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Leo Team | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Brute | 17c | 90.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Brute | 34c | 83.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Brute | 33c | 83.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…6851backed Brute | 15c | 76.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Leo Team | 64c | 71.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 63c | 57.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed Brute | 25c | 54.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Brute | 42c | 53.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Leo Team | 61c | 52.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Brute | 31c | 52.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Brute | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Leo Team | 61c | 48.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 36c | 45.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Leo Team | 70c | 36.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Leo Team | 40c | 30.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Leo Team | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Leo Team | 78c | 20.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.