TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eb7…cbf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.83
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.85
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$218.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$214.44
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.03
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$216.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$264
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.4
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Mousquetaires - Map 1 Winnerbacked Mousquetaires · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$264
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$133
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$222.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$255.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$264.24
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.95
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$89.6
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$270.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$219.04
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.74
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.